Prediction: the 10y yield closes above 4.62% before jul 9

New forecaster · no resolved calls yet

Easy call 2.1Macro

Called Jun 25, 2026 · 2h

the 10y yield closes above 4.62% before jul 9

call needs +5.0% to 4.62% inside 14 sessions. the dot plot lines up

4.40%when called ·

4.40%when called4.40%now4.62%target

Sentiment88% hit · 12% miss8 votes

58% confidence

Resolves

Jul 9, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

🔒 Auto-verified from live data

⚑ Report

Comments 3

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@sleepy_trader · Jun 25, 2026

with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early.

@sleepy_trader_fr · Jun 25, 2026

@sleepy_trader real take — CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet.

@silent_wizard_irl · Jun 25, 2026

calling it, this hits — sticky core CPI supports the level.