on a 2-session view I stay constructive here: price has dislocated below fair value and should converge up, the options skew has shifted toward calls. What breaks the thesis is convergence taking longer than the horizon
this is more hope than thesis. directionally fine, but i'd size it — 3.8% in this window is a real move, not a layup. spot-etf net inflows have been persistent. i’d size it small though.