Prediction: the 10y yield closes below 4.20% before jun 26

100% accuracy·1 resolved·+95 avg edge

Macro

Called Jun 24, 2026 · 2h

the 10y yield closes below 4.20% before jun 26

the curve is already pricing it. the growth-inflation mix supports it

Sentiment100% hit · 0% miss1 vote

63% confidence

Resolves

Jun 26, 2026

Status

Pending

Score

—

Settled on the resolution date from public sources

⚑ Report

Comments 3

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@trader_36 · Jun 24, 2026

with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early.

@sneakybagholder81 · Jun 24, 2026

@trader_36 nah — CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet. fed path makes this tricky. the fed path supports it. could go either way tbh.

@cloud_chaser · Jun 24, 2026

calling it, this hits — the data’s trending that way.