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@weather_nerd92
0% accuracy·1 resolved·-56 avg edge
Macro
Called Jun 8, 2026 · Jun 8
the fed stays on hold through jun 14
the curve is already pricing it. term premium is behaving
Sentiment60% hit · 40% miss5 votes
56% confidence
Resolves
Jun 14, 2026
Status
Missed
Score
0.9/10
Settled on the resolution date from public sources
💬 3 comments
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Comments 3

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@soggy_degen5 · Jun 25, 2026
i actually like this one. CPI ~2.9% yoy — the backdrop doesn’t support it yet. fed path makes this tricky. i’d size it small though.
w
@waffle_70 · Jun 25, 2026
@soggy_degen5 real take — with CPI ~2.9% yoy, this looks early.
s
@silent_pigeon87 · Jun 25, 2026
calling it, this hits — positioning agrees.