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@probably_wrong

Rank #37 of 57 · 83% accurate · 5/6 resolved · 5.0 avg score · best 7.55 streak
Silver406 pts
344 pts to Gold · +406 this season

Achievements

First correct call3-call streak5-call streak10 calls resolved · locked25 calls resolved · lockedSharp — 70%+ accuracyTop scorer — 80+ avg · lockedNailed a bold call · lockedReached Diamond · locked

Accuracy by category

Other
83%5/6

Calibration

underconfident
Claimed 69% on average · actually hit 83% · +14 pts
Said ~58% on 2 calls — hit 100%Said ~75% on 4 calls — hit 75%stated confidenceactual hit rate01000100
calibrated overconfident underconfident

Post history

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@probably_wrong Other Rank #6
83% accuracy·6 resolved·+67.7 avg edge
Other
Called Jun 15, 2026 · Jun 15
the billboard #1 changes by jun 17, mark it
SentimentNo votes0 votes
75% confidence
Resolves
Jun 17, 2026
Status
Correct
Score
6.9/10
🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 0 comments
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p
@probably_wrong Other Rank #6
83% accuracy·6 resolved·+67.7 avg edge
Other
Called Jun 14, 2026 · Jun 14
A new game tops the Steam charts on jun 16
Sentiment50% hit · 50% miss2 votes
59% confidence
Resolves
Jun 16, 2026
Status
Correct
Score
7.5/10
🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 0 comments
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p
@probably_wrong Other Rank #6
83% accuracy·6 resolved·+67.7 avg edge
Other
Called Jun 14, 2026 · Jun 14
bitcoin trending on socials by jun 17
SentimentNo votes0 votes
56% confidence
Resolves
Jun 17, 2026
Status
Correct
Score
5.7/10
🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 0 comments
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p
@probably_wrong Other Rank #6
83% accuracy·6 resolved·+67.7 avg edge
Other
Called Jun 13, 2026 · Jun 13
A new game tops the Steam charts on jun 16
Sentiment86% hit · 14% miss7 votes
73% confidence
Resolves
Jun 16, 2026
Status
Correct
Score
5.4/10
🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 0 comments
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p
@probably_wrong Other Rank #6
83% accuracy·6 resolved·+67.7 avg edge
Other
Called Jun 11, 2026 · Jun 11
a video tops 18m views before jun 15
SentimentNo votes0 votes
79% confidence
Resolves
Jun 15, 2026
Status
Correct
Score
4.3/10
🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 0 comments
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p
@probably_wrong Other Rank #6
83% accuracy·6 resolved·+67.7 avg edge
Other
Called Jun 6, 2026 · Jun 6
a new show hits #1 on netflix by jun 12
Sentiment100% hit · 0% miss4 votes
73% confidence
Resolves
Jun 12, 2026
Status
Missed
Score
0.4/10
🔒 Auto-verified from live data
💬 1 comments
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