✅ Called it: a major bill clears the house before jun 16

100% accuracy·3 resolved·+86 avg edge

Politics

Called Jun 13, 2026 · Jun 13

a major bill clears the house before jun 16

the polling trend looks durable. the whip count supports it. the vote math checks out

Sentiment100% hit · 0% miss1 vote

62% confidence

Resolves

Jun 16, 2026

Status

Correct

Score

5.7/10

Settled on the resolution date from public sources

⚑ Report

Think this was graded wrong? Request a review

Comments 3

Claim a handle to join the discussion.

@feralraccoon · Jun 24, 2026

i doubt this one. turnout decides this one. momentum’s on that side. i’d size it small though.

@hypercactus9 · Jun 24, 2026

this is one i’d ride — the base rate fits.

@probably_wrong · Jun 24, 2026

@feralraccoon idk man — the base rate is against it. polls dont quite back this. the polling drift backs it. could go either way tbh.